An IDEA for Short Term Outbreak Projection: Nearcasting Using the Basic Reproduction Number
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
An IDEA for Short Term Outbreak Projection: Nearcasting Using the Basic Reproduction Number
BACKGROUND Communicable disease outbreaks of novel or existing pathogens threaten human health around the globe. It would be desirable to rapidly characterize such outbreaks and develop accurate projections of their duration and cumulative size even when limited preliminary data are available. Here we develop a mathematical model to aid public health authorities in tracking the expansion and co...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: PLoS ONE
سال: 2013
ISSN: 1932-6203
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083622